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  • Counting the ways tariffs disrupt our economy

    For the first few years of the pandemic, businesses navigated a backed-up global supply chain that left some with excess inventory and others with no inventory at all. Tariffs may cau... Apr 15, 2025

    Counting the ways tariffs disrupt our economy

  • Office uncertainty — inside and out

    Fear of unemployment jumped 4.6 percentage points to 44% in March, according to a New York Fed survey. That’s the highest it’s been since April 2020. Expect the commercial real estate... Apr 14, 2025

    Office uncertainty — inside and out

  • Expect tariff evasion

    Just like some people fudge the numbers to lower their taxes, some companies do the same when paying tariffs on foreign goods. The federal government is mostly trusting that what’s in... Apr 11, 2025

    Expect tariff evasion

  • Eyeing the bond market

    Stocks aren’t the only assets in the financial markets that were beat up this week by President Trump’s tariffs. Bonds suffered too. After 3-year Treasury yields rose in the face of d... Apr 10, 2025

    Eyeing the bond market

  • Acting on uncertainty

    We’ve said it more than once lately: This economy is defined by uncertainty. And as President Trump makes aggressive, if erratic, moves on trade and federal funding, firms and organiz... Apr 9, 2025

    Acting on uncertainty

  • A cold snap in corporate bonds

    The issuance of corporate bonds has slowed to a crawl, thanks to all that uncertainty in the economy. And without raising money in the bond market, firms may pull back on long-term in... Apr 8, 2025

    A cold snap in corporate bonds

  • Footwear will likely still be “Made in China”

    Import levies on Chinese goods amount to 54% right now. But some things that China excels at producing will likely remain in China. In this episode, why shoemaking can’t up and leave ... Apr 7, 2025

  • Who will tariffs hurt the most?

    Tariff-driven inflation will hit Americans with the lowest incomes the hardest, slashing their disposable income by at least $1,700 a year, the Yale Budget Lab predicts. We’ll explai... Apr 4, 2025

    Who will tariffs hurt the most?

  • Reminder: Tariffs are taxes.

    Uncertainty about tariffs and trade policy has been top of mind since President Donald Trump’s election in November. We finally know how high those tariffs will be (between 10% and 54... Apr 3, 2025

    Reminder: Tariffs are taxes.