Nate Silver on 2016: The Sky Is Orange

On the Media | Mar 4, 2016

Months ago, FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver crunched the numbers and found it was extremely unlikely that Trump would become the nominee. He wasn't wrong, and yet here we are. So why is this election so unpredictable? Silver talks to Brooke about why the rules of politics seem to be broken this year, and how electoral predictions are based on a short history. Plus: could the country be due for a political realignment? 

Nate is also author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't. 

Be alert for scams. WNYC never asks for nor accepts money for coverage or interviews. Anyone making such a request does not represent WNYC.

Top Stories

Mayor Zohran Mamdani on the Stakes of the Midterms

Advice to Help Understand Masculinity

Why Are Birthrates Falling?

Criterion Channel's 'Highway Horror' Series; Making the Most of the New York City Marathon

YOU ARE ONLINE